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Ukraine Stance

Ukraine Poll Reveals Mixed War Stance

Sixty percent of Ukrainians reject giving up Donbas to Russia, even as the same number would accept a frozen front line with security guarantees, according to a recent poll.
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Soldier operates artillery gun in grassy field at night during firing.
Foto: Ezra Acayan/Getty Images
The essentials
  • 60% of Ukrainians oppose ceding Donbas to Russia.
  • 60% would accept a frozen war if security guarantees are given.
  • Most Ukrainians do not expect the war to end before 2027.

Ukrainians are divided on what kind of peace to pursue. Sixty percent reject the idea of territorial concessions in the Donbas region, a war-torn area including Donetsk and Luhansk. But the same 60% would support a stalemate along the current front lines if security guarantees, such as military aid and funding, were made available. These findings come from a poll conducted by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology.

The survey took place during stalled peace negotiations involving Ukraine, Russia, and mediators like the U.S. Meanwhile, Russian forces have intensified attacks across Ukraine, especially with a shortage of air defense missiles causing increasing civilian harm.

Under the scenario of a frozen conflict with security guarantees, 59% of respondents said they would support it, albeit reluctantly. Thirty-one percent remained firmly against the idea. Another 7% said they were unsure.

The poll further revealed that a large portion of Ukrainians expect the war to persist for years. Forty-five percent think it may not end until the second half of 2027. Twenty-one percent believe it could end by year’s end. Another 15% see a resolution in the first half of 2027. Nineteen percent were undecided.

The level of endurance among Ukrainians has increased compared to April 2026, when only 48% said they were willing to see the war go on indefinitely. Now, 61% say they are ready to endure it for as long as necessary.

The poll, conducted between July 20 and August 3, involved 974 participants aged 18 and older in areas of Ukraine controlled by the government. These responses reflect the shifting dynamics of public sentiment during a prolonged conflict.

“The poll was conducted as peace talks involving Ukraine, Russia, and mediators including the U.S. remained deadlocked.”

Frequently asked questions

What percentage of Ukrainians want to cede Donbas to Russia?

Sixty percent of Ukrainians oppose ceding Donbas to Russia, according to a recent poll by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology.

Would Ukrainians accept a frozen war with security guarantees?

Sixty percent of Ukrainians would be willing to accept a freeze of the war along the current front line in exchange for security guarantees.

When do Ukrainians expect the war to end?

Forty-five percent believe the war could end no earlier than the second half of 2027, while 21% expect it to end by the end of this year.

Based on reporting by Kyiv Independent, compiled by the Tradingbird newsroom. Published 07 Aug 2026, 15:49.
Topics: Diplo · Politics · War

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