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Auston Matthews 40-goal projection gains traction

Mike Rupp predicts Auston Matthews will score over 40 goals in 2026-27.
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Auston Matthews 40-goal projection gains traction
Foto: Yahoo
The essentials
  • Auston Matthews suffered a major knee injury on March 12, 2026
  • He finished 2025-26 with 53 points in 60 games
  • Toronto signed Sergei Bobrovsky to stabilize goaltending
  • Mike Rupp compares current Maple Leafs to his 2002-03 Devils team

Injury aftermath reshapes expectations

The Toronto Maple Leafs' playoff absence for the first time in nearly a decade has drawn renewed scrutiny toward its leading figure, Auston Matthews. The captain's performance in the 2025–26 season, in which he recorded 53 points—his lowest output in six full seasons—became a focal point of the team's struggles. The decline in offensive production was especially noticeable during the 16 games that Matthews missed due to a March injury. A knee-on-knee collision with Anaheim Ducks defenseman Radko Gudas resulted in a Grade 3 MCL tear and a quadriceps contusion, requiring surgery and stalling his season. With a complete offseason ahead, hopes are rising that he can fully regain his sharpness and lead the team to better results.

Rupp sees clear path to redemption

Mike Rupp, a former Stanley Cup champion with the New Jersey Devils during the 2002–03 season, is convinced that the stage is set for a resurgence. Rupp, who has seen firsthand what it takes to bounce back after a trying season, expressed no doubt that Matthews is poised for a standout year. When asked if a 40-goal season was in the cards, Rupp didn't hesitate. 'You're waiting for him to get back, and he does,' he said, pointing to the full recovery period as a key factor. He emphasized that even during his weakest campaign, Matthews has still managed to reach the 30-goal mark, making the prospect of a significant rebound all the more believable. Rupp also praised the team's recent moves, including the hiring of Jim Hiller, as the foundation for a stronger season.

New weapons in the offense

Toronto has positioned itself for a fresh start with the addition of top draft pick Gavin McKenna, a high-end offensive threat expected to ease the scoring load on Matthews. With another elite playmaker in the fold, the team can shift some of the focus from relying solely on one player to a more balanced attack. The Leafs also addressed a longstanding weakness by acquiring Sergei Bobrovsky, a two-time Stanley Cup winner, to stabilize their goaltending situation. After two difficult campaigns, the team is gaining confidence in Bobrovsky's experience and leadership. Meanwhile, the arrival of Jim Hiller and his aggressive style of play could enhance the team's ability to create offense. With a revamped roster and systems in place, there's optimism that the Maple Leafs can make a strong push for success in the coming season.

“I think this is an automatic over. I think it's an automatic over just because he has always kind of been that big year”

Frequently asked questions

How many goals did Auston Matthews score in 2025-26 season?

Matthews finished the 2025-26 season with 27 goals in 60 games, his lowest total since entering the league in 2016.

When did Auston Matthews suffer his knee injury?

Matthews suffered a Grade 3 MCL tear on March 12, 2026 during a game against the Anaheim Ducks.

Based on reporting by Yahoo Sports, compiled by the Tradingbird newsroom. Published 01 Aug 2026, 14:48.
Topics: Hockey

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